TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c3,237$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.2298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No55c2,596$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.211153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d1…cacfbacked No67c1,285$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1353…c7fdbacked No55c1,265$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No65c1,198$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.247055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c1,057$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.2996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35027737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c968.46$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.542,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c844$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x174d…39eebacked No67c811$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.63580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes64c638.61$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes33c597.22$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.081526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No66c422$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.481782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes34c411.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ea…6d59backed Yes34c359.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.58058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No60c334.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.586550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x149d…8d63backed Yes75c288$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c248.95$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3122743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked No67c237.18$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Yes34c229$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No45c210$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.214347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes34c207.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.644445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No44c186$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No64c162.07$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes33c155.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4516448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No58c139.63$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.592050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No65c135$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes35c131.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb1…cf90backed No67c122.51$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…33adbacked No67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffc…bc9ebacked No67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No65c115$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No65c112$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.213550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes34c106.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick21cpaid+47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.210744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.256145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c4d…6c2ebacked Yes34c68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.37347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41dd…ea91backed Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2113648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2113650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf44…f023backed Yes34c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9014…b6abbacked Yes36c50.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.292832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7df6…04cebacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No25c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72458.3%14 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0548…77c2backed Yes35c41.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No53c40.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.089576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f1…390abacked Yes34c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No27c37.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6916219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes27c37.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2524238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf355…5ab7backed Yes34c36.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No67c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes34c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.563828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x829a…1e93backed Yes34c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes35c33.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.445836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes34c32.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No65c31.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2d…a9b1backed No57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81580%12 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked No46c28.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No59c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.566070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7511354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No66c24.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.493354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes52c20.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5417529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c20.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a85…4f81backed No67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.