Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b762449b873a5021899d5a99973054484d2edb7b6d82761a067c045d23f9fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 65c | 8,841$5,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.38 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 3,069$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.55 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 35c | 3,000$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 42c | 2,673$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.68 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Over | 36c | 2,036$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,979$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.39 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 65c | 1,527$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 36c | 1,397$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 14c | 1,249$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 61c | 1,200$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 35c | 1,119$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.38 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 37c | 1,078$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 37c | 986.49$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 37c | 675.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Over | 38c | 666.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 64c | 657.3$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 656.29$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…b480backed Over | 35c | 499.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 12c | 416.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 35c | 335$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 35c | 309.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 66c | 298.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 35c | 261.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 59c | 207.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 35c | 206.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 40c | 199.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 161.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 35c | 156.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 37c | 123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 115.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 110.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 66c | 97.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 66c | 88.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 35c | 82.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Under | 58c | 80.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 66c | 75.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf1…6adcbacked Over | 35c | 75.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 55c | 69.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 66c | 68.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 44c | 68.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…973fbacked Over | 36c | 66.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 19c | 59.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed Under | 64c | 58.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…953cbacked Under | 65c | 58.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 56.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Under | 64c | 54.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 35c | 54.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 53.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…228ebacked Over | 36c | 45.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 35c | 44.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 65c | 44.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…1016backed Under | 65c | 43.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Over | 35c | 42.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 66c | 40.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…3d01backed Over | 36c | 38.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…727ebacked Under | 66c | 37.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…9c95backed Under | 65c | 35.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…a266backed Under | 58c | 34.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 35c | 34.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…3bd5backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afb…2d71backed Under | 65c | 25.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 77c | 24.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…edacbacked Under | 66c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 65c | 21.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…bdc9backed Under | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…1e0cbacked Under | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.