TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c9,108$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.493,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over41c2,272$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.6849143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under37c1,999$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.584835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over31c1,888$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9927726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over21c1,249$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.4410026%26 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under50c1,189$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.474852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c1,082$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.862,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over27c935.24$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.833253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over65c892.31$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over54c643.64$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over65c608.38$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.453455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over11c599.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.988939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c596.57$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.451,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over35c539.43$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7511843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Over63c505.6$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26420545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over31c324.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5912951.2%66 W · 63 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c322.22$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20318759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002763%17 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15938055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over24c264.05$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.288124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd969…342dbacked Over65c224.46$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under34c211.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9122829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Over63c210$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over28c209$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5821041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c208.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.571,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over22c163.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.255944.1%26 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over63c158.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c141.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1234655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Under78c129.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353250%16 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c124.85$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2878248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over40c119.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over34c117.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011943.7%52 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over21c115.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.995942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Over63c114.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Over35c112.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb013…cf94backed Over22c108.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over64c105.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.362458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525352.2%132 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.513852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under64c87.6$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4321540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over64c75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over40c68.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4418545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under74c68.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6738151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over63c65.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.462871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Over71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.61050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under45c56.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.978852.3%46 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Over63c55.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353093.3%28 W · 2 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick67cpaid+42.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad4…1bf2backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56583.1%54 W · 11 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Under37c46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb0…b622backed Over46c43.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over63c41.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Under37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-56.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under36c39.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.038253.7%44 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked Under79c37.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under37c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under43c34.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over63c34.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c34.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.539558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Over64c32.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.061250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over64c32.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215054%27 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Under37c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Under68c30.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.831190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Under66c30.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+99.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over63c30.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.993246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Under37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Under67c26.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.871872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Under56c26.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over64c25.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.685156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0879…4d2fbacked Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over63c19.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd77…d379backed Under72c18.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Over64c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over63c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0814942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…ebeabacked Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under70c14.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4953140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ab…963bbacked Under78c13.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.