Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51cde18bc7ef35757504d2dd8fec7c3d9c5dd7c28e1869d0f4a7b17c823ad49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 9,108$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.49 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 2,272$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.68 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 37c | 1,999$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.58 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 31c | 1,888$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 21c | 1,249$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 1,189$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 1,082$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.86 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 27c | 935.24$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 65c | 892.31$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 54c | 643.64$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 65c | 608.38$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 11c | 599.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 596.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.45 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 35c | 539.43$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 63c | 505.6$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 31c | 324.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 322.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 24c | 264.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…342dbacked Over | 65c | 224.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 34c | 211.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 63c | 210$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 28c | 209$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 208.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 22c | 163.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 63c | 158.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 141.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 78c | 129.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 124.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 40c | 119.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 34c | 117.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 21c | 115.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 63c | 114.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Over | 35c | 112.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…cf94backed Over | 22c | 108.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 64c | 105.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 87.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 40c | 68.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 74c | 68.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 63c | 65.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 45c | 56.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 63c | 55.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 93.3%28 W · 2 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…1bf2backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Under | 37c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Over | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 36c | 39.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Under | 79c | 37.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 43c | 34.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 34.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Over | 64c | 32.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Under | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 68c | 30.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 66c | 30.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 63c | 30.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Under | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Under | 56c | 26.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 64c | 25.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…4d2fbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 63c | 19.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Under | 72c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 14.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…963bbacked Under | 78c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.