TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0879…4d2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tweets, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+435.7%+$46.14
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$15.21
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40%+$23.7
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$18.12
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$12.62
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$5.24
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$11.3
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.8
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$35.99
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$19.52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$5.55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$8.23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$6.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$13.9
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+583%+$150.53
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.6%+$5.25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.7%+$17.67
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+52.2%+$6.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+98%+$9.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$11.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$40.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$14.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+80.2%+$8.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$27.73
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.91
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.95
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.7%+$7.9
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+124%+$21.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.2
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Malmoebacked Skellefteaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.9
SHL: Timraa vs. Froelunda HCbacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
SHL: Luleaa vs. Oerebro HKbacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+148%+$17.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$9.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$7.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+62.4%+$13.45
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick68cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$9.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$19.67
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$31.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.5%+$5.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$8.99
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$16.94
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$29.57
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31%+$43.65
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Labour Party (PvdA) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Nepali Congress win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+377.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+377.6%+$47.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.7%+$5.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$14.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.