NHL · resolved market
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Malmoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa512d9ea8ca4c260a4e63fc61c043b81aff5434219a0dd31395fc128cd1bbdbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skellefteaaof Skellefteaa, Malmoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Skellefteaa | 73c | 1,445$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Malmoe | 27c | 1,363$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Skellefteaa | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Skellefteaa | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Skellefteaa | 71c | 157$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Malmoe | 29c | 149.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Skellefteaa | 75c | 133.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Skellefteaa | 75c | 118.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Skellefteaa | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Skellefteaa | 78c | 104$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Skellefteaa | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Malmoe | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Malmoe | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Skellefteaa | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Skellefteaa | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Skellefteaa | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Malmoe | 22c | 61.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Skellefteaa | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Skellefteaa | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Malmoe | 25c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Skellefteaa | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Skellefteaa | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Skellefteaa | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…4d2fbacked Skellefteaa | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.