Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x281b50dfc550e6b8ec103d5e962e4ca5b859be3e800f02eb5ca200fb36dc17ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 47c | 102,159$47,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,162.27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 38,598$20,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,263.99 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 48c | 21,701$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,301.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 17,500$9,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,275 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 16,681$9,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,354.13 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 53c | 11,629$6,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,163.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 11,076$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.27 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 53c | 9,715$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.95 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 7,499$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.7 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 27c | 6,300$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 3,842$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.05 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Over | 57c | 1,764$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 53c | 1,599$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.28 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 56c | 1,000$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.85 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 944.75$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 46c | 645$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.36 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 54c | 540$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 505.8$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.21 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 443.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 410$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 54c | 335.73$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 53c | 330$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 53c | 330$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 53c | 317.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 53c | 309.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 212.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 201.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 46c | 146.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 38c | 123.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 56c | 119.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 53c | 105.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.