Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e192bd80549cf85e070d404113075a906ee6512a1b5b18ecd4eaa9858e9b65c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 3,476$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…2c58backed No | 42c | 1,558$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…d927backed No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…91dfbacked Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…19a5backed Yes | 59c | 1,450$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,249$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.68 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 920$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 42c | 606.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.83 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 59c | 508.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 40c | 444$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 58c | 316.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 201$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 48c | 104.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…5c29backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 47c | 48.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 61c | 41.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…4ed9backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…f8d1backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…e776backed Yes | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 39c | 26.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 18.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.