TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bustaof Kecmanovic, Busta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869f…7a8bbacked Kecmanovic56c22,316$12,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,492.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Busta44c20,000$8,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,176.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kecmanovic15c9,273$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.3980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Busta63c9,146$5,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,360.935247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kecmanovic54c6,704$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.1611,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Busta44c6,433$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,602.489645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Busta50c5,829$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.012,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Kecmanovic56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Busta39c4,772$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.199541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kecmanovic46c4,224$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.368,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kecmanovic56c4,117$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.241,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Busta44c3,675$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Busta51c3,589$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.62,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Kecmanovic36c3,529$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.837357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc583…e29dbacked Busta69c2,778$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.571546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Kecmanovic1c2,750$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.982,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Busta25c2,654$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.942,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Kecmanovic10c2,383$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8310815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Busta24c2,252$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.912634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Busta40c2,000$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.3832337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Kecmanovic70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kecmanovic55c1,650$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91023945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kecmanovic55c1,504$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.218548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Kecmanovic56c1,450$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…0e87backed Busta46c1,400$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0d…ff50backed Kecmanovic54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Busta40c1,370$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.8319846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Busta44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Busta33c1,124$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.2439431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c5…42a0backed Busta46c1,042$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Busta31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Busta39c993.47$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.9575648.7%368 W · 388 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…2a72backed Busta76c989.31$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.311973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Busta44c972.13$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.434,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa140…5a3abacked Kecmanovic63c966.05$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Busta46c896.78$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.2631753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kecmanovic55c835.8$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6924448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Busta47c787.56$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.767533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…bd77backed Busta46c763$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Busta53c755.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3253752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aac…e4e2backed Busta46c754$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ea…9d00backed Busta46c753$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d07…a32cbacked Busta46c742$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Busta45c678.69$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.2875046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe255…57c9backed Kecmanovic54c666$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Kecmanovic55c636.55$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.165149.2%320 W · 331 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Kecmanovic64c629.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Kecmanovic10c582.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.716830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Busta47c561.95$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9854547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Kecmanovic53c555.42$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9227733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Kecmanovic20c536.22$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2633228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Kecmanovic56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Kecmanovic65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3257644.7%34 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Kecmanovic56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Busta45c470.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0425428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Busta22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5520844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Kecmanovic32c439.38$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.668350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Kecmanovic60c425.63$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e7…6906backed Kecmanovic54c389$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Busta44c386.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3643448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d63…0e2bbacked Kecmanovic54c382$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a5…665ebacked Kecmanovic54c378$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe197…a4cebacked Kecmanovic54c376$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7336…5f80backed Kecmanovic54c376$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c0…1bccbacked Kecmanovic54c374$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb102…b9febacked Kecmanovic54c373$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kecmanovic47c373$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Busta44c373$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8820043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e4…c76abacked Kecmanovic54c371$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3c…0f07backed Kecmanovic54c369$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Kecmanovic56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Kecmanovic56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…dc0cbacked Kecmanovic58c343.78$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19960%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Kecmanovic59c340.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20097540.1%391 W · 584 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Busta15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.336127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Busta46c323.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.351142.9%219 W · 292 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Busta31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.583333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Busta32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.538739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Busta43c308.47$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6311045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Kecmanovic75c300$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22470252.8%371 W · 331 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Busta44c289.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked Busta35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Busta44c273.46$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.149546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Kecmanovic65c272.86$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Busta44c268$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.672,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Busta33c258.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c4…a218backed Kecmanovic58c257.61$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Busta47c252.8$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1388455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Kecmanovic57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Busta46c249.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.327,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Kecmanovic21c229.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Busta38c229.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2931941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Kecmanovic57c227.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Kecmanovic67c226.2$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.551770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02e7…9f90backed Kecmanovic55c215$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7448…d05dbacked Busta45c214$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ee…56e7backed Kecmanovic56c212.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7546…0c1cbacked Busta45c209$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc7…e305backed Kecmanovic55c208$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc47a…2b30backed Busta46c201$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.