TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$551,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$569,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings47c171,257$80,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,490.8456152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Stars53c95,694$50,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,975.9913449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Stars53c31,873$16,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,980.4638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Stars53c30,000$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,10048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Stars52c24,982$12,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,991.41,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Kings47c21,345$10,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,032.058657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Stars69c12,241$8,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.5838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Stars53c11,400$6,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,35815749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Stars71c10,429$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.212846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings17c8,616$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.6350049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Kings30c8,441$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.321861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars53c7,226$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.181,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Kings48c7,143$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.443647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Stars53c7,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars53c6,590$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.271,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings47c6,500$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.551,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.981,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings28c5,484$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.061,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars53c5,149$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.031,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings35c5,082$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b7…cc32backed Stars53c5,080$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.486443.8%28 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Stars52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9913948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Stars68c4,500$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stars59c4,250$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.272,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings47c4,148$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.5626058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kings48c4,024$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.5228353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings48c3,894$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.9361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings44c3,576$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.871,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars72c3,479$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9761,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings47c2,900$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.911,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Stars54c2,798$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.4823047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stars67c2,672$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.762,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cd8…62f5backed Kings43c2,547$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.8470%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Stars67c2,373$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.41,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stars61c2,329$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.2734538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe841…2edebacked Stars53c2,300$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Stars53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03425552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Stars54c2,096$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.887354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kings48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings46c1,956$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.7152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Stars73c1,880$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9711745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Stars74c1,843$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.567162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Stars70c1,763$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.8995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Kings49c1,624$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.076958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings20c1,527$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2243742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5618547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4314…774ebacked Kings47c1,485$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d9f…c550backed Stars53c1,485$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Kings35c1,451$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…65e5backed Stars53c1,450$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa4f…9fbcbacked Kings47c1,450$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c39…192bbacked Kings47c1,448$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…e08abacked Stars53c1,448$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c1,443$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.437450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dac…5e12backed Stars53c1,443$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…70b6backed Kings47c1,443$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…75dbbacked Stars53c1,443$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.21875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35aa…75d0backed Kings47c1,443$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.21850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars71c1,432$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.141,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa0…9d5ebacked Stars53c1,430$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…ce5ebacked Kings47c1,430$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.11030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc872…619fbacked Stars53c1,430$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf8…a184backed Kings47c1,430$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf316…daf3backed Kings47c1,427$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7296…763fbacked Stars53c1,427$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d2c…888abacked Kings47c1,425$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39ee…3e1ebacked Stars53c1,425$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9432…e4e7backed Stars53c1,420$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d74…7d54backed Kings47c1,420$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa116…3c81backed Kings47c1,419$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1c…6c9ebacked Stars53c1,419$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2139…66cfbacked Stars53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4072…b0a8backed Kings47c1,415$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d29…013dbacked Kings47c1,411$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x324d…f1c8backed Stars53c1,411$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef0…88e5backed Stars53c1,408$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…e16cbacked Kings47c1,408$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd4…19afbacked Stars53c1,405$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0355…c655backed Kings47c1,405$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.35825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings43c1,405$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7b…71a9backed Stars53c1,401$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c3…7606backed Kings47c1,401$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Stars53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Stars54c1,390$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.329551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings48c1,383$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.8479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf086…9088backed Kings47c1,382$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.54911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-82.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe51c…4519backed Stars53c1,382$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…971fbacked Stars53c1,367$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6eb8…4872backed Kings47c1,367$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.49825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b1e…89c4backed Stars53c1,365$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa5…0691backed Kings47c1,365$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc94…436bbacked Kings47c1,364$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb7…c662backed Stars53c1,364$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba7…c8bbbacked Stars53c1,362$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.141060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x807e…029ebacked Kings47c1,362$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07a7…655fbacked Stars53c1,351$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf4b…fbc2backed Kings47c1,351$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.97825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.