NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1eb8c4603c0120aa57e6270c0225d41e716dc591aa8e6d84756c60f385a8821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 32c | 2,920$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.13 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 69c | 1,108$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.52 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Stars | 32c | 892.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.09 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Kings | 70c | 763.74$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Kings | 68c | 504.41$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 44c | 419$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Kings | 69c | 371$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.09 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stars | 32c | 300.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 67c | 261.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 56c | 258.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 68c | 253.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Stars | 30c | 139.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 30c | 115.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Stars | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Stars | 30c | 79.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 68c | 76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…afbbbacked Kings | 68c | 58.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Stars | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kings | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 70c | 20.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Kings | 71c | 17.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. KingsStars won
- Stars vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.