NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fe31a0f486b5f1809a211d0351775178b3d880368095a990fb7608ba20512f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 6,697$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.35 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 2,929$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.37 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.93 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 46c | 1,650$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.49 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,380$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,039$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 56c | 1,000$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.09 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 768$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.52 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 44c | 444$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 288.89$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 54c | 256.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 238.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 227.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 54c | 196.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 46c | 179.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 32c | 121.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Over | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 83.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 53c | 73.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…9262backed Under | 45c | 55.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…fd00backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 28.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Under | 68c | 27.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…07cbbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Under | 64c | 26.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Over | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. KingsStars won
- Stars vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.