TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,107,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,235,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,107,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes76c131,082$100,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,075.765466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No24c125,998$30,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,239.496541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No23c67,058$15,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,440.3359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Yes78c51,403$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,402.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c46,841$10,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,702.121,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No23c45,677$10,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,324.158751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes77c39,118$30,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,977.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No22c38,711$8,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,562.9828543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes78c32,088$24,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,183.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No24c30,214$7,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,251.27922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes78c30,157$23,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,535.2310628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No23c30,043$6,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,854.3213843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes68c28,895$19,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,355.121,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No23c25,720$5,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,915.691471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes77c20,880$16,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.967145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x277c…a74cbacked Yes77c20,607$15,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,739.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Yes76c20,158$15,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No23c20,115$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No23c20,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.992334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No24c15,178$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.4526645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No24c13,744$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.523447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No5c13,406$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.961717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No23c13,200$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0361741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked No20c12,725$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+174.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3382…d521backed Yes77c12,263$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.74666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes78c11,655$9,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.62268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes13c10,978$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,550.862646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No23c10,891$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.748647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes76c10,796$8,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.071330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No24c10,199$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.528853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4233…b16cbacked No22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fda…85a6backed Yes78c9,525$7,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe908…c1fdbacked Yes76c9,499$7,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a76…5c05backed Yes76c9,211$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.532245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes77c9,064$6,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.953452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes77c9,025$6,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.445352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No25c8,744$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1531735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb529…f3ffbacked Yes76c8,000$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.891450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes78c7,355$5,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed No18c7,207$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.431752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed No21c7,158$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No21c6,124$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.111963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed No2c5,806$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+131.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes79c5,721$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes77c5,641$4,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d62…476cbacked No23c5,547$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…0f20backed No13c5,518$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes76c5,467$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.083948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No23c5,415$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.22532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes77c5,133$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.66046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No15c5,075$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.755433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes75c5,000$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2309757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No20c4,906$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes76c4,500$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes76c4,386$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.537737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes76c4,039$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.044477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Yes78c4,022$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c0…92d8backed Yes76c4,018$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed No24c4,004$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.921656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes68c3,990$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.0939743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Yes76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes77c3,797$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.9613261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Yes80c3,776$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7587…3afebacked Yes70c3,671$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.431844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No22c3,570$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No23c3,540$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.5515847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes76c3,300$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8024628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes78c3,205$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.132360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Yes78c3,200$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No21c3,029$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.111443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed No1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9919755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No24c2,935$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7488…a277backed No24c2,870$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No22c2,850$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No23c2,700$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.416553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No23c2,609$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67c3…d11dbacked Yes78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…5ff6backed Yes77c2,544$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1357…7553backed No24c2,453$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No21c2,409$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.1732843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No21c2,212$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8360748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210e…59f5backed Yes31c2,207$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No21c2,178$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.384252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Yes78c2,136$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.54887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Yes80c2,050$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No18c2,018$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.153748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed No24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.991540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.051369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.057050%35 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked No21c1,906$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed No20c1,777$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked No21c1,717$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No23c1,682$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0836142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes77c1,680$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.27247.2%34 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4f6…d00ebacked Yes31c1,631$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.04616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-45.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.