TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$375,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c38,980$15,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,377.411,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe635…702abacked Over60c24,824$14,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,935.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under58c17,361$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,361.411070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c16,383$7,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,555.581,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Over60c16,346$9,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,807.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over59c11,307$6,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,671.193633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9414953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e3…5febbacked Over63c9,741$6,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,136.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa823…6215backed Under41c9,504$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,604.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912a…2e6abacked Over65c9,050$5,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,882.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c7,987$5,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,064.242438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c7,548$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.228543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under40c7,255$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over44c6,415$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under38c6,280$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.531250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+70.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over63c6,250$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,937.363345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under37c6,000$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+96.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over60c5,500$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3001020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a9d…2fdfbacked Under40c5,284$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1506046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over62c5,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.99757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over48c4,935$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.838440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over60c4,872$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.2160%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under42c4,441$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.436728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Under37c4,187$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.64341.9%18 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+104.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Over58c4,094$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.611070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Under62c3,831$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under39c3,692$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under63c3,640$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.2272335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf953…156cbacked Under38c3,553$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under35c3,548$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.883237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under40c3,333$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+81%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Under36c2,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7925121.6%11 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over64c2,761$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.352268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over63c2,663$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.9126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d9…dcb1backed Under42c2,635$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Under39c2,633$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+80.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under39c2,600$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.981526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under41c2,571$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.0721037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1520…0ddfbacked Under40c2,477$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over61c2,459$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.022045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under38c2,346$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.514252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under38c2,301$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.928751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under39c2,301$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.591546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under38c2,223$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.3713548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under40c2,187$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under39c2,057$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.176553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Over64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.995550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Under39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.992250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Under39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.941540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under40c1,980$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Over60c1,969$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.314658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under40c1,880$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.985856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Over61c1,848$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c1,829$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.9532843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under39c1,704$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.331118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d4…c3f9backed Over61c1,700$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9cb…5f9fbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099a…236cbacked Under40c1,595$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under54c1,552$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.92055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over64c1,550$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under37c1,500$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95215538.1%59 W · 96 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Over61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9151266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Over64c1,459$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.382751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57fa…dda8backed Under40c1,408$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3f…caf9backed Over60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over20c1,331$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4655…b1bcbacked Under38c1,321$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+99.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over61c1,313$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.913256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Under77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.911442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Under40c1,258$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75512036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.961225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over60c1,189$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under39c1,111$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.715749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under38c1,100$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.73452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under37c1,063$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.236053.3%32 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x154e…e931backed Under38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.63560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over63c1,048$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over55c1,043$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.817560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Over61c1,033$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6302152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over47c1,032$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.232528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under36c999.88$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over63c982.58$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Over60c929.67$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Over61c887.99$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under39c887.97$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6613567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over16c885$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Over73c869.95$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.574860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over25c842.62$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6618736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfc…07b0backed Over61c809.82$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b49…d151backed Over63c799.99$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under38c790$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.84344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Under55c767.05$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.054235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c743.13$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9943252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x656c…7f2dbacked Under40c710$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.