TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under18c17,325$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,165.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+174.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c16,313$3,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,495.791,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Under19c15,211$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.744242.9%18 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+109.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c9,277$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,735.1145042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under23c9,014$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,897.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under20c8,527$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,821.31250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+70.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under19c8,359$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,760.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over43c8,000$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c6,451$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.471,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under19c5,950$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.496628.8%19 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under20c5,896$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,693.628751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under24c5,242$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.6237753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under20c4,793$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.473237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under18c4,708$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+81%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over47c4,260$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over79c4,200$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3369757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Over74c4,076$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c3,952$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,283.4770435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.195552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Under44c3,378$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under51c3,080$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over12c3,000$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.434513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over79c2,941$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.939332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over79c2,436$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.4428540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over56c2,379$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.172142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed Under16c2,187$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Over78c2,162$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.56650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under19c2,021$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.014934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Under20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.461540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c1,969$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.6659441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Under21c1,855$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+368.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under68c1,840$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.87247.2%34 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over78c1,544$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.682268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4f6…d00ebacked Over13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-45.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x154e…e931backed Under20c1,515$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Under20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2006145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under26c1,458$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.4215753.5%84 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under25c1,442$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.718440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under19c1,362$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9731342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab5…2663backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…4194backed Under20c1,264$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c1,154$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.7224340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over80c1,100$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8803240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.582040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over39c1,037$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under20c1,013$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.483551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over49c1,010$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.02119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-67.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over52c1,000$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over54c966$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa660…4483backed Over41c955.95$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.384729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under21c900$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7111526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under27c883.2$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.7411843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9524…0409backed Under43c818$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under35c804.05$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.531225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c770$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53920655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacab…4e20backed Under17c762.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+202.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over30c729$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.297737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.294562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under21c711.81$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.616553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under20c704.29$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.9618250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Over57c699.97$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under9c666.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over16c640.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a1…b1f3backed Under32c621.88$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under19c621$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.0160648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over80c610.21$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.172356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Under9c600$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5465123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under15c570$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.94228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over79c550$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed Under28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.71850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Under15c534.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.142236.4%8 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+99.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Under19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.321020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under60c520.07$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over80c518.75$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under39c518.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.051450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3234…b53cbacked Under22c513.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.64540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+264.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Under40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ec…4900backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under22c499.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.991540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9609…9786backed Over80c497.61$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Under21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.191369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick36cpaid+84.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Under21c467.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under17c452.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4235860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over79c450.65$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7717560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Under20c450$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfba4…4cddbacked Under13c443.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.89425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Under22c440.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under27c425.1$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1884454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe8…e9d9backed Over79c388$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Over79c379.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.192347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Under38c378.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52a…8222backed Over79c353.62$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Over40c353.4$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.