TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67c3…d11d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$69.84
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$79.52
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$65.16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Leeds United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$170.61
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Brentford FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Brentford FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.41
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$380.88
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$44.42
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.63
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$180.75
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.4
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.77
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$564.1
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$34.24
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.91
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.44
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$275.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.53
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$169.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+176%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$289.9
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$59.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.