TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over68c10,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.966468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c6,223$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.784,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c6,030$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.7583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under42c2,458$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.414146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c1,755$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.591,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under39c1,652$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.398351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,650$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.793,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over57c1,298$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.8683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over23c1,072$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.72536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under39c635$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3520142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under40c551.51$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over57c438.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over76c434.21$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over32c430$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.211819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b3…8d3dbacked Over62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over76c396.05$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c377.05$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over49c353.38$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1734052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under28c344$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6845841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over58c341.61$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.145547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over61c298.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.522553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over58c272.41$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over54c249.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over63c222.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.812240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over68c191.18$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6396…3e5cbacked Under46c186.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cff…db9cbacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…d11dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over75c160.37$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.641,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.25050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under24c153.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0348153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.081225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed58…f083backed Over67c148.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+104.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over77c140.35$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under66c135.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6220253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ca…0d05backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007072.9%51 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over77c130.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over45c123.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.465955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over63c112.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9212626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…ea3bbacked Over26c106.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under24c105.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.635442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c104.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.82,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.051776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under25c96.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1715655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over54c90.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8614140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over58c89.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.171957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over59c83.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+93.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over51c81.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4315832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e3…e438backed Over61c81.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024f…2df9backed Over61c81.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…42d1backed Over77c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under32c73.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.842857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…b0b8backed Over70c70.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x739f…e091backed Over70c70.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+175.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over77c65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.053360.6%20 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9891…102bbacked Over77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c63.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4517466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over66c62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.723464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under45c61.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.366937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c60.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457231.9%23 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ac9…b16fbacked Over76c59.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over36c55.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over55c53.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.452454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under42c53.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8519555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over76c51.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.852572%18 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.638748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Over76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over41c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4916745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x903a…316bbacked Over31c45.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x677c…6b53backed Over76c44.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over76c40.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315371.7%38 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.474555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over77c38.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.810761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under37c37.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.415133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.