La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa791d56d0378c0d0bc9be491c93a8d1b6088d40da354f5e05e6ac02ff772ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Girona FCof RCD Mallorca, Girona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed RCD Mallorca | 0c | 125,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked RCD Mallorca | 2c | 3,827$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…27b0backed RCD Mallorca | 60c | 125.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Girona FC | 41c | 104.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…2dcabacked Girona FC | 40c | 49.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…db1abacked RCD Mallorca | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed RCD Mallorca | 58c | 30.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…71c8backed RCD Mallorca | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…0d4fbacked RCD Mallorca | 56c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…4c5cbacked RCD Mallorca | 66c | 19.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)this page
- Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.