TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ddc…e874backed Over0c20,008$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.236937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c4,942$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.924,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c4,112$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.9620054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under68c3,904$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.9682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c2,250$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12514647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over35c2,144$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.512536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,070$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.611,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Under50c2,030$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.572250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Over51c1,403$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c1,378$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over2c1,175$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c881.83$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c804.66$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.387851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over32c658.63$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4614146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.243834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c584.21$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.033,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over48c532.67$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c461.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.521,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under68c430$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.652576%19 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over48c409.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7912445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c399.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20263757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under68c367$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4420043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6672…9ea3backed Under50c300.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over23c300$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7711819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under48c207.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.733441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.015050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under49c199.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9916836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over21c182.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.692737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under48c181.25$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.252948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c172.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over40c145$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6912626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c138.34$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under77c115$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c113.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.023956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over51c113.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.92147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over55c110.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.827850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under49c108.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.121546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over52c102.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over50c101.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under64c93.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-61.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under57c91.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7419555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over21c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4838748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba8…958dbacked Over29c81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under62c80.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.893461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c76.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over43c67.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over39c67.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.314035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c66.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.422,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c66.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7347653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over39c65.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over46c64.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.543857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7614552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…f56bbacked Over51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fb…e34ebacked Under50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over51c50.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.881442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e047backed Over50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over54c45.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under53c45.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2223957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.218641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5218…7fc9backed Over51c40.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823050%15 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c39.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9523455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a24…f55dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under59c37.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over51c37.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.452352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.