Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x990749fff820abe1e31f6196853d7631f42ed29d934bcdc04c182eafdea72d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 63c | 31,746$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.03 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 37c | 15,800$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,846 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 37c | 11,370$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 8,359$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.09 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 38c | 7,894$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 25c | 7,783$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 37c | 6,310$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 37c | 4,740$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 37c | 4,281$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 37c | 3,834$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 63c | 3,834$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.58 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.91 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 2,594$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.15 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed Yes | 63c | 2,540$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed Yes | 63c | 2,487$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed No | 37c | 2,451$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 2,380$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.48 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 61c | 2,380$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.18 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 2,123$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 37c | 2,063$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.1 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 39c | 1,949$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 37c | 1,699$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.63 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 39c | 1,697$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 39c | 1,687$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 62c | 1,611$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,600$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 19c | 1,463$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.11 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 37c | 1,256$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 1,221$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 4c | 1,141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 37c | 1,098$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,045$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 38c | 999.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Yes | 62c | 762.9$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 61c | 704.49$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 62c | 644.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 63c | 635.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 37c | 604.08$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…64c7backed No | 6c | 578.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…8583backed Yes | 63c | 576.63$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 62c | 537.63$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 62c | 508.06$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 63c | 499.45$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 37c | 469.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked Yes | 63c | 446.89$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 63c | 428.57$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…a06abacked No | 39c | 400.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 63c | 357.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes | 62c | 306.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 63c | 301.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 62c | 299.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 273.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 38c | 263.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 62c | 256.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 253.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 62c | 221.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 221.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 63c | 211.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed No | 39c | 203.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 63c | 198.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 196$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed No | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 63c | 191.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 38c | 191.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 61c | 178.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…47cdbacked Yes | 63c | 171.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked No | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 79c | 168.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 40c | 168.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…d5cfbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 159.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +62%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-04?No won
- Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.