Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ecf839e5e2986cb6d942bda168d314cf23074f203997dbe5be4cd4ff53e913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof Manchester United FC, Leeds United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf592…9872backed Manchester United FC | 0c | 311,501$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester United FC | 34c | 98,865$33,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,614 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Leeds United FC | 66c | 95,219$62,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,374.46 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 54,206$20,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,598.46 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 31,272$11,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,570.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Leeds United FC | 64c | 23,617$15,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,598.41 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 22,175$13,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,426.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Leeds United FC | 63c | 20,196$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,448.19 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 20,195$12,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,674.19 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 18,316$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,880.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leeds United FC | 70c | 12,848$9,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Leeds United FC | 63c | 10,931$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.5 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 8,343$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Leeds United FC | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Leeds United FC | 65c | 3,987$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Leeds United FC | 63c | 3,887$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.36 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 3,801$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.2 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…a6d4backed Manchester United FC | 6c | 3,589$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Manchester United FC | 35c | 3,190$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.75 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 3,147$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.7 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 2,814$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Manchester United FC | 8c | 2,810$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Manchester United FC | 9c | 2,129$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Leeds United FC | 66c | 1,745$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Manchester United FC | 34c | 1,695$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Leeds United FC | 63c | 1,617$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.65 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…589dbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 1,564$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Leeds United FC | 63c | 1,546$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.68 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Manchester United FC | 34c | 1,482$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Manchester United FC | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 1,400$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.71 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…327bbacked Manchester United FC | 17c | 1,397$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 1,336$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Leeds United FC | 64c | 1,160$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…c6dbbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 1,040$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 1,011$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8c…2f40backed Leeds United FC | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Manchester United FC | 33c | 999.92$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Manchester United FC | 33c | 992.8$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…dc20backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 989.9$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Leeds United FC | 64c | 971.63$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Manchester United FC | 35c | 915.58$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Manchester United FC | 33c | 861.03$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.02 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Leeds United FC | 63c | 839.98$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.79 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed Leeds United FC | 63c | 763.66$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 686.03$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Leeds United FC | 67c | 650.44$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Manchester United FC | 35c | 604.06$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 555.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 545.56$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 505.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Leeds United FC | 64c | 501.37$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Leeds United FC | 67c | 501.01$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester United FC | 33c | 499.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 498.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Leeds United FC | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Manchester United FC | 36c | 480.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Manchester United FC | 36c | 451.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Leeds United FC | 63c | 431.54$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 405.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 398.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Leeds United FC | 64c | 395.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Manchester United FC | 34c | 369.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 354.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.79 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…52d1backed Manchester United FC | 35c | 302.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 298.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed Manchester United FC | 35c | 289.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Leeds United FC | 64c | 285.12$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Manchester United FC | 17c | 283.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +12.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Manchester United FC | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…a69fbacked Manchester United FC | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 277.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Leeds United FC | 63c | 277.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 274.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Leeds United FC | 67c | 263.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 238.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Leeds United FC | 62c | 236.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 222.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Leeds United FC | 64c | 214.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Manchester United FC | 34c | 211.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 208.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Manchester United FC | 17c | 206.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Manchester United FC | 36c | 199.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…7579backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 197.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 197.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Leeds United FC | 66c | 188.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Manchester United FC | 17c | 169.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Manchester United FC | 16c | 162.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 156.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa338…e65cbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 156.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manchester United FC | 19c | 155.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Leeds United FC | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 153.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Leeds United FC | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.