TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x772f…a69f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$50.61
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38.46
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.7
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.4
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.87
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$140.66
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$55.07
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)backed Leicester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$87.39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+72.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$38.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$74.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.