Premier League · resolved market
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04dc9a0803d83449b3b5e850a4f4b843406364e0463d1ca5a4ddddcfb38cdc53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 50c | 762.24$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 52c | 656.12$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.88 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 48c | 649.84$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.69 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 55c | 461.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 50c | 331.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 18c | 266.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 51c | 242.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 50c | 125.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…e3febacked Yes | 48c | 100.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Yes | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed No | 78c | 76.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Yes | 52c | 74.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed No | 51c | 56.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…a69fbacked Yes | 49c | 49.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…1c00backed Yes | 49c | 39.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 50c | 38.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…48c7backed No | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…5eb1backed Yes | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…e193backed Yes | 50c | 30.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 51c | 30.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…8617backed Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 51c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Jeremy Doku: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.