TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$543,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$553,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed 3DMAX41c328,493$135,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,056.693438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Falcons57c87,000$49,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,065.986160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Team Falcons60c83,942$50,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,655.0939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Team Falcons59c59,469$35,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,182.5525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Team Falcons61c57,759$35,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,541.1211655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Team Falcons60c50,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00010551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Falcons60c25,000$14,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,10077052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 3DMAX43c22,548$9,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,656.978552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked 3DMAX43c22,462$9,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,657.974738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Team Falcons61c9,182$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,584.646450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Team Falcons60c9,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6003158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9972046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX63c5,277$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.073,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 3DMAX39c4,813$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.0422049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons61c4,803$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.1525751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed 3DMAX22c4,167$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.541030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Team Falcons60c4,067$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.6723249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Team Falcons36c3,584$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.9310047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Team Falcons61c3,540$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.0435236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons57c3,535$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons58c3,174$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.7114954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Team Falcons61c3,027$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.7133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Team Falcons58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 3DMAX41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Team Falcons59c2,962$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.2255845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Team Falcons59c2,643$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.683638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed 3DMAX41c2,200$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.955947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 3DMAX43c1,900$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81746749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Falcons39c1,897$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.1861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX61c1,385$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.632,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons60c1,304$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.446040%24 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e8b…6d27backed Team Falcons77c1,281$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.641464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed 3DMAX40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed 3DMAX42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.228751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed 3DMAX40c1,018$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.22245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Team Falcons58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9910157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed Team Falcons60c951.46$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.591560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed 3DMAX41c848.98$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.971936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Team Falcons60c778.16$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.275347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Team Falcons59c776.16$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.222774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX40c765.79$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.321,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons60c740.88$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3536240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked 3DMAX41c732.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.243948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed 3DMAX15c675.21$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2820251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked 3DMAX43c657.01$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX41c609.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.15,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…9531backed 3DMAX26c563.2$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.122931%9 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 3DMAX63c527.32$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.761,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Team Falcons57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Team Falcons59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20513049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked 3DMAX40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7db…40f4backed Team Falcons60c499.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons73c492.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1136845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons60c488.12$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3328657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Team Falcons60c488$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.29258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Team Falcons61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3219238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…29e7backed 3DMAX40c449.9$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111f…9bebbacked Team Falcons57c442.29$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.18887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+59.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c19…6303backed Team Falcons59c435.89$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.343265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Team Falcons58c412.57$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7515363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Team Falcons61c400.25$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.159049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Team Falcons49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7919351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed Team Falcons58c372.79$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.573847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed 3DMAX41c333.39$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.141526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb38…01a9backed Team Falcons61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c4…6102backed Team Falcons61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x381d…eba1backed Team Falcons61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…0a7ebacked Team Falcons61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad1…7653backed 3DMAX40c309.22$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.692347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed 3DMAX41c306.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.416644.6%74 W · 92 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons59c305.8$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3827950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked 3DMAX41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12358343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons59c297.94$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1642845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Team Falcons59c295.93$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3312954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked 3DMAX58c264.37$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1329555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Team Falcons58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.217454%94 W · 80 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked 3DMAX40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.414843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons61c240.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons58c224.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3576657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed 3DMAX41c202.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.214447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Team Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Falcons59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8238950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed Team Falcons79c199.6$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9113950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked 3DMAX41c192.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.153545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Team Falcons59c180.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.221460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 3DMAX41c169.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.491,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked 3DMAX43c168.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4427754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7e…8301backed 3DMAX40c166.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.711921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7836450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61dd…29d8backed 3DMAX42c161.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Team Falcons57c150.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.187561.3%46 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed 3DMAX41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.511050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked Team Falcons59c143.83$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.975137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons60c136.64$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6649245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed 3DMAX50c135.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.937232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Team Falcons60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013158.8%77 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked 3DMAX41c123.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-77%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Team Falcons59c122$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0274754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.