CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40f73808efc1c5bc0038e1b35f918aea254f30280571d41b3c74f4a357d677d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 62c | 4,003$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.26 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 2,568$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 37c | 1,950$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.65 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 38c | 1,254$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.15 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…4951backed Over | 7c | 1,187$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Over | 70c | 1,010$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.83 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 63c | 995.94$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.45 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 63c | 809.69$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Under | 55c | 390.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 15c | 370.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 51c | 350.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…9213backed Under | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 37c | 300.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Under | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 70c | 274.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Over | 38c | 243.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 45c | 234.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 76c | 221.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 38c | 210.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Over | 36c | 199.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 182.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 18c | 178.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 37c | 146.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Under | 43c | 144.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 64c | 126.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 59c | 108.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 23c | 105.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 64c | 99.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…bbefbacked Over | 68c | 79.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Over | 38c | 65.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Over | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 397 | 45.8%182 W · 215 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 63c | 63.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 64c | 59.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Under | 63c | 56.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…0db2backed Over | 57c | 47.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Under | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…3d6fbacked Over | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 38c | 29.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Over | 58c | 29.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 50c | 28.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 43c | 23.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 62c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 64c | 22.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad49…08cebacked Under | 64c | 22.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.