CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb24eefb9e1828bf2c08f01983965d193a1180381f014bfbd5cb2836ea9af3d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 20,038$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.97 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality | 60c | 9,430$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.02 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Vitality | 60c | 8,016$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.52 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.97 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Vitality | 60c | 7,860$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality | 59c | 7,190$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.9 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality | 65c | 6,944$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.8 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,530$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.41 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…931abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,671$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.08 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Vitality | 59c | 3,420$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.22 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 80c | 3,326$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.11 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 3,123$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Vitality | 76c | 3,083$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.68 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,791$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Vitality | 75c | 2,444$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality | 59c | 2,400$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vitality | 77c | 2,233$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.26 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Vitality | 67c | 2,116$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.02 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Vitality | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vitality | 59c | 1,911$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.43 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Vitality | 60c | 1,810$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,791$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.34 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Vitality | 75c | 1,761$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.87 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,704$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.65 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Vitality | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,410$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.07 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Vitality | 58c | 1,284$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.36 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,264$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.14 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Vitality | 68c | 1,263$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.3 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Vitality | 60c | 1,187$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.67 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Vitality | 60c | 1,040$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vitality | 59c | 1,023$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Vitality | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Vitality | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 999.82$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 850$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Vitality | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Vitality | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Vitality | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Vitality | 60c | 833.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Vitality | 60c | 817.93$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.17 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Vitality | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Vitality | 59c | 786$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.26 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 58c | 777$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Vitality | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Vitality | 60c | 746.52$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.61 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…db0ebacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 728.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 720$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Vitality | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality | 60c | 622.85$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.14 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 620.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Vitality | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Vitality | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…446dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 482.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc37…8505backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 481$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 73c | 475.2$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Vitality | 65c | 415.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…17b9backed Vitality | 60c | 402.21$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Vitality | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 399.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…d6edbacked Vitality | 59c | 379.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Vitality | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 369.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 342.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Vitality | 78c | 342.91$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Vitality | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…ddedbacked Vitality | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Vitality | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Vitality | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Vitality | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Vitality | 59c | 333.15$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 326.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 309.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…0c4cbacked Vitality | 60c | 304.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed Vitality | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Vitality | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 295$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.