CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147ddb4cf635694f832fbd3ae3345fa48dffdea79c14a555fe6b0b3915083cfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa559…5cbabacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 46,149$6,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,191.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 12,637$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.56 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 10,289$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.07 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 8,287$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 7,845$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 6,405$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 6c | 4,585$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 4,419$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.96 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 3,780$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.05 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 3,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality | 74c | 3,184$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.19 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 2,741$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.96 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 2,605$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.6 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 2,569$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 2,440$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vitality | 80c | 2,205$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.28 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Vitality | 77c | 2,079$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.63 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 2,052$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 2,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.7 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vitality | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,908$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,860$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.27 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 1,842$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,714$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 1,655$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Vitality | 79c | 1,573$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 1,501$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,472$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,432$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality | 72c | 1,406$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.79 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Vitality | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.23 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 74c | 1,303$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.78 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…df59backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 1,243$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,142$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 1,141$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 1,132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Vitality | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 999.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 999.58$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 992.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Vitality | 73c | 977.48$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.67 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality | 72c | 942.86$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Vitality | 73c | 923.8$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Vitality | 76c | 922.64$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.05 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…e4cabacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 905.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 899.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Vitality | 75c | 817.74$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 796$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Vitality | 72c | 781.56$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 743$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 736.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 735.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Vitality | 80c | 721.11$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Vitality | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…6ca4backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 695$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Vitality | 73c | 682.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Vitality | 74c | 676.15$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Vitality | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 78c | 654.98$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 583$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 569.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 554.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…612abacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 550$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 549.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 528.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 527.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 523.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 510$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Vitality | 71c | 499.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae9…f444backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 470$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 423.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…f801backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 421.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0136backed Vitality | 73c | 408.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…38bebacked Vitality | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Vitality | 75c | 401.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality | 72c | 399.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Vitality | 77c | 390.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 384.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 381.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 369.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 368.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Vitality | 72c | 357.22$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…8bb9backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 351.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…a126backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 336.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…534ebacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 326.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.