CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df22a9dbc1a47100189b7836a2960d58ab419bb73fe7e3aca5a45e228b38b22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 16,042$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.91 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 11c | 15,107$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 13,554$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.6 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 11,571$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.61 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 10,488$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.95 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 9,365$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.13 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 8,894$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 5,050$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.49 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 4,640$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.19 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 4,254$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.17 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 4,065$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.25 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 3,911$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.04 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 3,880$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 3,827$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 3,668$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.56 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 3,599$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 3,331$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.12 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 3,150$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 3,084$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.04 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,999$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.41 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Aurora Gaming | 6c | 2,864$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,676$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 2,503$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 2,309$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.65 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,240$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.78 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 2,211$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Vitality | 79c | 1,993$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.23 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,848$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.19 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,624$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,623$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,565$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Aurora Gaming | 6c | 1,533$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 1,521$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 1,422$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,417$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,337$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 1,291$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…38bebacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,214$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 1,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality | 78c | 1,166$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ef…b4b5backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,095$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,059$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 1,055$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 958.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 859.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 840$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Vitality | 76c | 817.94$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 799.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 793.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 780.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…a671backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 760$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 699.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…4bebbacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 661.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 656.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 622.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 573.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 562.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora Gaming | 6c | 535.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 528.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 516.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…2115backed Vitality | 79c | 509.41$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Vitality | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 499.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Aurora Gaming | 11c | 449.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 433.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…df59backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 399.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 359.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 347.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…2469backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 315.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…e0efbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…612abacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 287.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 230$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 206$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 194.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…11ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 191.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 187.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.