TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,931,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,931,330 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No57c312,693$177,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,548.817557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes43c175,411$75,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,457.8416040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes43c155,485$66,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,858.356857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No57c120,000$68,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,599.833557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes45c112,209$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c103,947$46,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,190.381,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes42c87,284$37,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,032.052166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes44c82,238$36,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,501.115534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c79,982$44,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,051.671,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c49,474$28,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,790.916,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c43,476$24,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,142.612,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes44c40,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,60016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes0c39,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked No58c36,464$21,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,225.08560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No58c36,000$20,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,12015949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No57c32,096$18,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,786.58146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No56c27,140$15,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,026.6514450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No56c26,240$14,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,628.4251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No56c25,035$14,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,961.94748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c24,595$17,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,430.084,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c23,830$17,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,685.332,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No56c23,497$13,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,455.2224146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c16,955$12,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.511,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No61c16,000$9,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes42c14,175$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No55c12,000$6,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3607754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes41c10,759$4,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,411.078939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed No58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No56c10,000$5,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,379.9914258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes22c9,864$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No56c9,445$5,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.83452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No55c9,000$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.994944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes23c8,744$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No56c8,682$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.99856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed No57c8,287$4,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,563.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No56c8,163$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.97544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes18c8,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9920140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes45c7,151$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.0330143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No57c7,000$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0109272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2895…2c58backed Yes20c5,147$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes17c5,096$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed No57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No56c4,784$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.9612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes19c4,048$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes43c4,019$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.331,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes26c3,763$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.83129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No56c3,750$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65021056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes41c3,659$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes23c3,604$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.0716548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No57c3,576$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.687361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.436354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No57c3,530$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.6123556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c3,454$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.0984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No56c3,350$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c3,308$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8527235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes23c3,146$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.6724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b1…8063backed Yes48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2905942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2901675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed Yes44c2,766$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.982958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c2,736$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.732,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5749254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes16c2,659$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c2,618$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.9949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Yes19c2,599$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.891010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid+42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No57c2,550$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.59254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No74c2,473$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.3242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No56c2,341$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.032466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes44c2,315$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.651735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No56c2,248$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.611450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No56c2,176$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.6652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No57c2,054$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.223855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes27c2,044$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.983557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.945949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf80…4e15backed Yes19c1,901$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No55c1,900$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8506550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes7c1,884$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9972142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7921346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No57c1,769$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.730057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes17c1,753$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No57c1,727$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.4126344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee35…239cbacked Yes43c1,721$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes42c1,700$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes22c1,663$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.96240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.