TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over50c18,682$9,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,340.9939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over22c6,801$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.423,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaad…8eaebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+69.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under50c2,264$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1327546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9620944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under50c1,900$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Under55c1,448$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.66246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under49c1,280$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7747147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over18c1,275$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5621351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under50c1,131$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.711450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over49c522.65$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9718536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under48c493.65$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.710945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20546149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb2d1…4242backed Over51c391.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c385.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.093,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Under72c358.21$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under41c308.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2420251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15314856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under72c292.12$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over49c233.44$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.383,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Under50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1114362.8%27 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4696…e741backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d82…0d44backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014056.4%79 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under59c189.67$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.599748.5%47 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over51c176.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d38…a83fbacked Under49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Over21c162.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.412036.7%44 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over18c161.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.022,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.577146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over40c149.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.981,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over51c132.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3524935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over38c131.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee5…9ac2backed Under76c125.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.533447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Under76c122.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.291250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over59c120.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Under42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.054269%29 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Under55c117.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6827556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Over52c114.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Over51c112.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.557963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d2…0290backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under49c103.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9223952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5010…3bdabacked Over54c102.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.145048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under66c100.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.681,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Under60c91.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.546141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over34c89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0354346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked Over26c88.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.331450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under62c87.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7126958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd72e…3627backed Over52c82.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.817856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over51c81.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.449550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over27c81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.011,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under48c80.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9451…cdd7backed Over51c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under70c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.64975.5%37 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Over28c69.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.367537.3%28 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7c…9e02backed Over52c67.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under61c65.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7652755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f10…9406backed Over32c64.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-61.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b2…94b8backed Over51c62.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…7267backed Over52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under49c61.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226855.9%38 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772f…a69fbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over29c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0149745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x909c…0b61backed Over52c57.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.932626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55b4…a846backed Over53c55.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf821…4736backed Over51c50.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…06c2backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+116.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7331440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb69f…25bdbacked Over59c47.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2213443.3%58 W · 76 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc6…ab4ebacked Over54c47.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under42c45.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.352,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…ba9cbacked Over52c42.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.281428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c41.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.146450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…764fbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.835454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8366…4d53backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe046…11ebbacked Under77c39.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e9a…c734backed Over51c36.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6055…c9dcbacked Over45c36.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.243450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…de87backed Over51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over43c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6231328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.