CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb47c3144b33a9a07361237cf3a773618fa7bf74e5e53099033400a56873763f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $688,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $767,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 25c | 36,716$9,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,294.94 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked TheMongolz | 0c | 23,140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 19,079$8,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,913.36 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 16,724$7,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,754.74 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 15,986$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.04 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed TheMongolz | 30c | 15,309$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,551.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 13,944$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.71 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 13,815$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.95 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 10,093$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,853.89 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 10,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.97 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed TheMongolz | 51c | 9,847$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.21 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed TheMongolz | 28c | 8,863$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.58 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 8,800$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.91 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…5c19backed TheMongolz | 0c | 8,592$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed TheMongolz | 42c | 8,142$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.16 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 7,555$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.65 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed TheMongolz | 55c | 7,243$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TheMongolz | 47c | 7,097$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.75 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 16c | 6,827$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.21 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 6,377$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.37 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz | 42c | 6,324$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.49 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 6,321$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.07 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed TheMongolz | 58c | 6,046$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.43 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 5,584$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.21 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed TheMongolz | 33c | 5,553$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.03 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 5,549$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.31 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,498$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.78 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz | 57c | 5,000$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.7 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 4,800$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 28c | 4,749$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 4,635$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.06 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 4,619$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.21 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed TheMongolz | 34c | 4,387$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 4,297$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.36 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked TheMongolz | 13c | 4,250$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.71 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked TheMongolz | 45c | 4,074$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 3,961$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.92 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz | 58c | 3,835$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.73 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 33c | 3,153$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.41 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed TheMongolz | 21c | 3,152$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.54 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…7067backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 3,133$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,089$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.24 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 3,018$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.8 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.97 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 2,868$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz | 40c | 2,793$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.21 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 2,719$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.77 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,680$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 2,651$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.86 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 2,624$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.05 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 7c | 2,546$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 2,350$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…7799backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,270$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 2,226$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.73 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed TheMongolz | 45c | 2,176$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.58 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,098$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.91 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,779$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.2 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed TheMongolz | 19c | 1,726$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.47 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed TheMongolz | 13c | 1,724$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,716$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.84 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 1,667$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,663$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,603$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.48 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…69d7backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,592$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,531$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.99 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 1,529$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 1,500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.38 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,452$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.66 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…7a68backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,389$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.66 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,361$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.75 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,308$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.92 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,270$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…9ed2backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,213$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,191$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,185$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,116$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.92 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,077$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.3 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,075$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.53 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 1,024$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,020$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.05 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,016$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 958.03$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 923$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.05 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 909.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 901.17$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.04 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 895.77$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.65 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.