CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73efff05511a47c92957b2cbe17e86e65fa7014c2177718c4596c73484d1555b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 77,448$38,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,970.9 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed TheMongolz | 0c | 40,492$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 27,743$14,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,038.99 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed TheMongolz | 47c | 24,346$11,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,442.61 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 15,169$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.37 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 40c | 14,240$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.04 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 13,664$8,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.45 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 12,132$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.05 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked TheMongolz | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed TheMongolz | 50c | 11,251$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 9,902$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.16 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed TheMongolz | 1c | 7,992$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed TheMongolz | 46c | 7,332$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.09 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz | 47c | 5,490$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.3 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed TheMongolz | 47c | 5,264$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.08 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 5,252$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.29 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 5,145$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.56 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 5,107$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.4 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 20c | 5,051$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.04 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz | 55c | 5,000$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.77 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz | 47c | 4,851$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 46c | 4,771$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 4,527$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.86 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 4,150$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.38 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 32c | 4,094$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 4,011$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed TheMongolz | 48c | 3,868$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.6 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 3,860$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.43 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,819$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.83 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 3,523$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.18 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed TheMongolz | 43c | 3,520$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.15 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 3,321$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.3 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,201$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.3 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,965$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.07 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 2,915$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.31 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 2,910$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.7 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,873$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.1 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed TheMongolz | 47c | 2,714$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.5 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 37c | 2,436$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.09 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…4dc4backed TheMongolz | 37c | 2,404$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,359$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.9 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz | 53c | 2,153$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.98 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,992$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,984$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.11 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed TheMongolz | 30c | 1,938$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.61 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked TheMongolz | 48c | 1,923$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz | 18c | 1,859$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,837$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed TheMongolz | 19c | 1,775$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,732$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.74 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…7a68backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,661$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz | 47c | 1,550$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.38 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.79 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed TheMongolz | 27c | 1,450$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,445$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,434$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.39 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,373$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,373$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.25 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked TheMongolz | 19c | 1,368$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 1,280$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed TheMongolz | 28c | 1,244$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 1,210$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.2 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 1,158$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.66 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed TheMongolz | 5c | 1,150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed TheMongolz | 37c | 1,129$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.43 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,129$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.58 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,097$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.2 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,096$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.07 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 1,069$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.16 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TheMongolz | 47c | 1,041$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…6d93backed TheMongolz | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed TheMongolz | 27c | 999.91$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed TheMongolz | 21c | 986.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 965$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.55 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…ee45backed TheMongolz | 21c | 953.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed TheMongolz | 47c | 919.63$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 906.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.75 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 24c | 900$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…c0f6backed TheMongolz | 22c | 872.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed TheMongolz | 48c | 839.89$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.42 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 23c | 827.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…d922backed TheMongolz | 47c | 814.89$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 799.99$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 798.85$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked TheMongolz | 48c | 785.24$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 778.01$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 750.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 742.52$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 700.65$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.32 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 699.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.