Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e064b03023b4bb9bbc7eb9b22db4f8e65dfc16227dc26ad8f46756797a56b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ce0…59d5backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 41c | 42,622$17,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,146.95 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 66c | 22,727$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 17,127$9,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,861.12 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 13,133$7,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,402.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 7,453$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 6,982$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.21 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked No | 50c | 6,088$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.42 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 48c | 5,886$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.19 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 60c | 5,727$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.5 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 4,678$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.88 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.1 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 58c | 2,945$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.86 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 72c | 2,741$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.23 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 29c | 2,230$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.92 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 2,107$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.97 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 2,066$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.55 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 59c | 1,964$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 59c | 1,803$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.81 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 25c | 1,665$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.34 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 42c | 1,663$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 59c | 1,648$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.03 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,524$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 1,505$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.17 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 1,472$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.14 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 1,416$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.6 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 58c | 1,371$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 59c | 1,343$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,300$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 1,291$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.46 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 1,226$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.39 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 65c | 1,216$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 1,134$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.39 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 76c | 1,099$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 40c | 1,080$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +102%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 1,079$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.97 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 1,005$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.58 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked No | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 27c | 985.19$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.37 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 959$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.53 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 46c | 881.09$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.78 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed No | 68c | 819.65$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 40c | 758.32$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 41c | 685.42$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.02 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 72c | 660.83$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 72c | 653.54$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 39c | 650$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes | 74c | 633.37$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 61c | 616.09$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 589.57$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.73 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 68c | 584.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 68c | 584.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 567.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 40c | 566.34$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 54c | 511.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 39c | 510.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 41c | 506.28$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 502.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 58c | 499.95$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 493$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.94 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 41c | 487.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.89 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 43c | 476.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed Yes | 66c | 472.59$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 401.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 42c | 395.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b2d8backed Yes | 77c | 394.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 47c | 382.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 30c | 373.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 29c | 370.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 70c | 362.54$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 67c | 348.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 60c | 336$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 35c | 329.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 40c | 328$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…fbd1backed Yes | 62c | 322.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 55c | 312.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 302.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 66c | 302.11$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 51c | 300.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.