TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa026…766cbacked Liquid0c54,461$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid13c31,696$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,120.4372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Liquid14c19,765$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.057147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid14c13,791$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.285,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Liquid7c11,352$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.8412736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Liquid11c8,500$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Liquid14c6,196$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.877425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Liquid14c5,666$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.1975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid14c4,535$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.51,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Liquid15c3,322$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2319229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Liquid14c2,788$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3612426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked Liquid5c2,374$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.475750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Liquid14c2,186$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.048441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed Liquid15c2,171$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.599540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Liquid14c1,522$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.158324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid14c1,425$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5297040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Liquid14c1,423$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1616149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Liquid13c1,370$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.432732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Liquid15c1,265$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.84517.8%8 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Liquid15c1,265$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.824429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1685,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid11c1,102$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.222,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Liquid14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Liquid6c988.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3452837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid10c946.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Liquid11c880.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.664619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…7060backed Liquid13c874.89$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.741127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Liquid16c850.37$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0642638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Liquid13c720.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.461,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Liquid14c717.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0710252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Liquid8c703.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe661…b679backed Liquid14c636.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked Liquid6c635.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.157647.4%36 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4833…17d5backed Liquid8c602.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.247622.4%17 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid6c581.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.925,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Liquid5c556$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Liquid11c532.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6426037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Liquid15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7534235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed Liquid13c499.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.994461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid10c487.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Liquid5c466.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid8c466.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.515,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid10c464.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid6c461.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a81…a925backed Liquid6c418.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.533122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Liquid9c408.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7320646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed Liquid5c398.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.899346.2%43 W · 50 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Liquid15c393.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.081,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Liquid11c389.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9325042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2ccdbacked Liquid5c379.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.751330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Liquid7c368.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.314137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14a6…b1b6backed Liquid13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.395451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d94…e9c2backed Liquid14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.423135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e6…d3a6backed Liquid10c332.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Liquid10c331.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Liquid12c322.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.313441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Liquid6c303.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffa…e449backed Liquid10c287.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.773023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Liquid5c267.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1541054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x772f…a69fbacked Liquid9c266.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Liquid12c258.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.465543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Liquid5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7f…ddb1backed Liquid12c242.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.06742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc905…3d8dbacked Liquid5c235.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Liquid7c215.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Liquid10c213.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.356915.9%11 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda06…dbefbacked Liquid6c207.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Liquid15c196.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4225941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Liquid15c189.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.472,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…e36abacked Liquid15c189.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.472657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…2c87backed Liquid17c173.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8a…4e10backed Liquid15c158.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.731855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Liquid14c152.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Liquid15c142.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3516448.8%80 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…4dc6backed Liquid15c142.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liquid13c136.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1634…b32fbacked Liquid14c135.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.975541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Liquid15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9827947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed Liquid15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9818530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4df…e4f3backed Liquid15c118.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Liquid15c116.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4319043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9d…7a4abacked Liquid15c101.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Liquid15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7769…75bfbacked Liquid14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145054%27 W · 23 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Liquid15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b51…9ea6backed Liquid12c98.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8319053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Liquid14c98.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7528346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f3…9afebacked Liquid15c94.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.243961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0f8…6b50backed Liquid15c94.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Liquid13c94.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb997…faacbacked Liquid13c86.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1820553.2%109 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d30…15d9backed Liquid15c82.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Liquid16c78.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9221644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.