TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid27c3,062$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.325,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Liquid20c2,925$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4475245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit79c2,870$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5939248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Spirit73c2,253$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3713044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Liquid4c2,224$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9652834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Liquid17c2,008$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8813238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Liquid25c2,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2151252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid19c1,744$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.61,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Spirit80c1,600$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32038868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Liquid11c1,580$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid16c1,449$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.016,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Liquid22c1,192$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1511846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Spirit76c1,121$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.268947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid9c1,031$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.352,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19e…c764backed Liquid6c962.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.772751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked Liquid14c911.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.183040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Spirit78c848.96$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.521,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Liquid23c793.04$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.532732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit77c754.35$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid21c749.83$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.444,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Liquid19c743.28$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7350846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid25c591.97$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.991,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit75c583.09$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7741069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Spirit75c582.39$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.625147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit74c581.92$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid17c538.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.674,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid4c537.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7569624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit75c527.26$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3348350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e76…05aabacked Spirit75c525.33$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.332572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…790dbacked Spirit73c499.77$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.941546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit75c499.33$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Liquid8c497.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7323056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ab…b7e5backed Liquid26c485.44$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a6…b1b6backed Liquid24c439.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.635451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Liquid17c407.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.282,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit76c389.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.371,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid24c386.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.831,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed Spirit76c381.21$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.493548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b6…fdefbacked Liquid10c378.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9510337.9%39 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…d567backed Liquid13c378.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.383839.5%15 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Liquid7c370$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.912132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Liquid19c307.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6525045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Spirit79c280$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.89546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid7c274.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.257,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Spirit76c262.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0854439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid25c255.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.921,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid14c250.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.575,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Liquid25c248.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0820433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Liquid13c245.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.893,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…2ea8backed Liquid5c213.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2f…2ae1backed Liquid9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Liquid24c199.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b8…21e8backed Liquid24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.724261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Liquid19c196.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4284037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Liquid7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Liquid26c148.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2240048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Liquid11c143.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7326037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Liquid11c143.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7325042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Liquid11c143.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.733441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…dd5abacked Spirit75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Spirit73c130.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.128933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed Spirit77c124.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0612273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Liquid25c124$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Liquid16c119.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.474,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…6c48backed Liquid17c111.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.918641.9%36 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Liquid23c107.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.932835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8a…2be8backed Liquid17c106.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Liquid24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Spirit80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.462538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea4…4d25backed Liquid23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315446.8%72 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid24c98.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.565,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid20c97.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Liquid16c95.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2853850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Liquid14c94.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2831852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…041bbacked Liquid19c93.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510451%53 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b3…d5c9backed Spirit76c92.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.263953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed Spirit80c92.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5331662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liquid23c67.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed Spirit76c64.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5623165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid23c59.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Spirit74c59.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3615965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Spirit77c54.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2526564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Spirit76c51.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.455164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Spirit77c51.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7853859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d2…662abacked Spirit71c43.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Spirit73c40.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9938848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c4…585bbacked Spirit74c26.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.773100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1810…f93cbacked Spirit77c25.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Spirit77c25.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7396545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Spirit78c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1713553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Spirit75c14.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Spirit77c13.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.041,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.