CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf55970256880466741f2640e09d1c011e5e593e5f023e3129376e3e3d55b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 31c | 1,332$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 68c | 1,148$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.76 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 31c | 740.24$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 37c | 716.81$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 30c | 630.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Over | 36c | 480.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Over | 46c | 418.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 28c | 380.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 63c | 336$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 455 | 38.2%174 W · 281 L | -29.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 62c | 322.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 17c | 280.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 20c | 215.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 38c | 169.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 14c | 150.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed Over | 36c | 144.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 16c | 142.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Under | 64c | 140.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 34c | 137.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Under | 77c | 128.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Under | 77c | 126.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 73c | 123.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Under | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Under | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 12c | 98.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 60c | 89.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 34c | 78.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 72c | 61.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 27c | 60.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Under | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 397 | 45.8%182 W · 215 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 69c | 54.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 69c | 54.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 36c | 37.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 61c | 35.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 73c | 29.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 68c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.