TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Liquid41c10,118$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.577147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit59c4,951$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.2338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liquid26c3,147$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.813,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit73c3,003$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.8876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Liquid41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9746749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9935236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Spirit56c2,361$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.832576%19 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Spirit59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8210047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid27c1,604$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.1398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Liquid41c1,318$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.381030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7150…0a2bbacked Liquid44c1,232$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.19825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Liquid41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.198751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Spirit73c1,078$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.127658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6209…4dadbacked Spirit59c995.5$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Spirit56c991.17$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8511645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Liquid42c935.51$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9120249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Spirit59c882.82$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.967758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Liquid28c861.68$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.362,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Spirit70c825.28$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8831451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Liquid42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33629858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Spirit58c786.25$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Spirit59c700.34$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1419642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c19…6303backed Spirit59c661.29$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.133265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9597…efcabacked Liquid42c629.31$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.311346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Liquid27c599.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Spirit59c590.2$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9810251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Spirit59c585.24$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.952774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Liquid42c584.46$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4760248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Spirit59c542.21$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.39258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Spirit59c485.75$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1685446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid40c419.62$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.855,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d13…a252backed Liquid25c399.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Spirit68c385.99$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1213044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Spirit59c338.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8927950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Liquid43c338$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Spirit56c307.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4415756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit60c284.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8715363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Liquid14c280$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.236645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spirit74c262.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0813058.5%76 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Spirit56c260.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.617946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Spirit78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5529465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit59c247.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6725655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Spirit59c243.02$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6431654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Spirit73c234.57$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3378963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Spirit59c234.24$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0412557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Spirit65c233.06$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.011,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit59c199.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d56…52b1backed Spirit59c195.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.983050%15 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit56c194.2$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Liquid45c184.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.261154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Spirit55c177.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.016352.4%33 W · 30 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Spirit56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.536450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Spirit59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7821653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad82…1075backed Spirit59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Liquid29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.873342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed Spirit59c158.01$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7913950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Spirit59c157.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.398936%32 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Spirit71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Liquid42c147.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0211050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked Spirit56c143.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.22774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Liquid29c143.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.651,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Liquid24c141.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3848845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spirit20c138.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Spirit59c137.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.268359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed Spirit73c134.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.375139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Spirit73c128.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.820145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Liquid29c122.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Liquid15c117.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6520251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Liquid41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2316248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Spirit75c116.89$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2241847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Liquid44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3240050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Spirit77c108.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7519362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid60c100.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.751,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Liquid26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2639258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Spirit59c99.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6725941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Spirit59c99.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6716457.9%95 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Liquid78c95.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9927754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Spirit58c92.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.962538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liquid27c91.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.052,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Liquid41c89.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.899954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Liquid38c88.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7218239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Spirit59c83.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3918352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Spirit73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1937757.8%218 W · 159 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ab…4dc5backed Liquid33c58.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1913241.7%55 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Spirit59c57.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7231757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Liquid42c57.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1332561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Liquid27c55.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Spirit60c53.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5811340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0b…09c6backed Spirit73c53.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.553661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2caf…8684backed Spirit73c52.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Spirit58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6777…5bbfbacked Spirit59c49.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.299844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda85…bd68backed Liquid42c47.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.792850%14 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf647…dbafbacked Spirit73c46.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.812454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Liquid42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Spirit59c44.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.318043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Spirit60c44.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6928852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3da…ee97backed Liquid43c42.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.