TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid22c16,563$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.6567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Liquid17c15,101$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.2375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Spirit72c10,472$7,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.7749646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit78c8,793$6,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.939248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit75c6,229$4,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.582,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit77c6,014$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.291,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid17c5,993$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd572…c829backed Spirit70c5,686$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Liquid17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Spirit66c4,435$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.8833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid23c4,236$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.36,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid20c4,159$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.45,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Liquid42c4,153$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.4720838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Spirit80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80014954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid24c3,465$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.792,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Liquid17c3,413$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.171,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit75c3,379$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.493,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Liquid21c3,165$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.2212736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid25c2,894$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.287,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked Liquid18c2,808$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.123040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid27c2,211$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.742,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Spirit78c1,939$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.339852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Liquid2c1,934$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.342150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Liquid15c1,925$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.298232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit67c1,898$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Liquid17c1,815$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5429046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Liquid18c1,746$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3512651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Liquid21c1,727$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.063,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Liquid23c1,722$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.978947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Liquid18c1,594$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9453545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit72c1,494$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.021,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2837…39d8backed Spirit64c1,482$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.651963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Spirit78c1,362$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.517850%39 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Liquid23c1,286$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9352837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Spirit59c1,270$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid18c1,245$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.124,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid17c1,244$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid22c1,233$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.031,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Liquid19c1,212$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0857322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Liquid2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid20c1,186$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.215,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Liquid29c1,175$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid29c1,143$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.741,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Liquid43c1,135$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3165546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b6…fdefbacked Spirit74c1,122$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.410337.9%39 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Spirit76c1,097$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.728862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit67c1,050$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.451,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Spirit77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Spirit59c975.14$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.0528056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid23c953.78$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.031,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Liquid18c950.8$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.141,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Liquid10c916.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2918426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Spirit58c900.72$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.310753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Liquid26c849.85$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.522,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Liquid17c804.79$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.261,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Liquid2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Liquid18c713.1$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3632732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Liquid20c672.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2713238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e76…05aabacked Spirit80c621.27$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.312572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Liquid18c603.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9260848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Spirit78c594.6$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4715373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Liquid35c576.6$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8131444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Spirit77c559.21$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6225248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Liquid17c557.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9725142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed Liquid19c533.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.668545.9%39 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid33c533.24$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Liquid23c531.54$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.137232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed Spirit71c530.52$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.853548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Liquid29c523.2$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1740639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spirit80c505.17$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4344648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Spirit80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid28c482.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.585,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdc…28c7backed Liquid21c476.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit67c471.63$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.691,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Spirit58c437.46$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3214848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Spirit65c424.56$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Liquid29c424.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.683441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Spirit58c413.28$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5831654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Liquid34c410.09$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3415648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Spirit56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Spirit60c400$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15836837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Liquid43c392.95$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0219741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Liquid29c392.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8378348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Liquid44c386.56$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.097152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Liquid47c350.2$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Liquid28c339.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.925330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b62…12edbacked Spirit58c338.8$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid18c337.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6969635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spirit79c335.88$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6921351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid27c326.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.34,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Liquid29c315.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5126037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a6…bd8cbacked Spirit70c305.19$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…dd5abacked Spirit77c304.75$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit77c295.03$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9536555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac89…3783backed Liquid12c294.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.333548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Liquid35c288.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9121519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Liquid19c285.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3750947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Liquid21c276.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.029443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Liquid20c268.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6623333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.