TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Yes27c13,344$3,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.675538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes32c11,179$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,577.27656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes23c10,432$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.285726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c10,079$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.851,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c7,706$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.3390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c7,537$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.831,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c7,078$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.1515151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c6,965$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.234,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078e…381abacked Yes34c5,649$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes3c2,803$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2123727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No64c2,483$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.73762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes27c2,379$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.9719953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No67c2,330$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76910760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No65c2,014$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.677561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6407667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c1,937$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c1,814$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.281,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes35c1,619$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.859244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No65c1,500$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52021355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c1,384$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes34c1,351$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes36c1,087$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.189751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3305253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes24c994.17$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes34c988.65$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.142040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No67c980.2$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4711566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No63c977.73$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.845141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c973.46$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8665356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c919.18$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.332,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No72c895.25$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7984144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes34c864.81$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No65c602.46$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes34c579.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8710450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No68c504.82$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.541872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No68c504.82$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c500.89$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes31c463.84$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7915446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes23c459.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4310440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No67c411.68$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8613362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No67c411.68$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8613062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes39c406.46$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8633734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13626147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes36c396.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.854634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes33c384.13$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.761656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No67c362.67$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6812166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes37c360.83$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.511145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f1…e20dbacked Yes34c358.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes30c351.27$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.382313%3 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-55.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed Yes29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No70c297.6$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6320360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No67c294.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0412954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes36c288.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.859641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No68c288.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No68c288.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+72.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c286.82$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes36c285.76$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.873135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0422939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c5b…a7cebacked Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…8b0abacked Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes38c260$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes37c254.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.151838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No69c246.22$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes34c211.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.037251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes23c209.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.262330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Yes23c207.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No67c206.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4810561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No63c199.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.997651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes31c172.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.513429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes28c171.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.845440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.046163.9%39 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No68c145.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.495259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7387…31b0backed Yes31c144.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes26c142.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.869629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0210152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes31c136.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2611547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes36c135.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6324245%109 W · 133 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2135759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2116456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2122455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2110957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.213759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2122758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.219660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2116660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.217954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.216762.7%42 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No68c131.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2117856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e5…ba5fbacked No64c130.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.541050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Yes37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.113450%17 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9bb…a884backed Yes23c128.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No80c127.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.596563.1%41 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No68c122.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2322658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No68c119.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1417659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.