TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes22c20,587$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.1515034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c9,893$7,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.484,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf7…0724backed Yes1c9,406$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c7,061$5,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.761,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c5,767$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.1990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No72c5,250$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4707852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes21c4,608$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes29c2,400$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No72c2,261$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.183762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c2,132$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.1592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes28c2,120$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.636127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c2,009$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.837667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes33c1,874$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No66c1,810$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.53476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes54c1,801$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.43525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed No73c1,259$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.862152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No79c1,037$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…f6c2backed Yes19c721.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c708.61$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.661,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes20c698.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No80c693.97$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c680.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5223727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2861…656dbacked No71c607.25$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No79c604.98$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ae…e344backed No71c566.96$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c534.48$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.359561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes17c495.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe79…02ccbacked No71c367.49$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc77d…aa76backed No71c339.98$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c319.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.813426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes19c303.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.379629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd0…b52fbacked No69c298.83$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.761136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes30c293.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.942556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c279.86$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes20c266.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.414639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes39c247.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3415446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes28c239.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.984544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c0…6c8abacked Yes29c219.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c206.36$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5510561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No73c202.23$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.635145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes15c189.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.797440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c141.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3125872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes22c132.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.597744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Yes17c129.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.481833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c128.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b1…3cd5backed Yes14c123.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes32c122.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4120630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes28c119.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.492927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes12c113.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…3d44backed No71c107.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c98.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No72c98.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5317859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0b…0f92backed No71c98.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No71c98.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c95.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.749643.8%42 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes23c78.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1215832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Yes31c77.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.976349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No71c75.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.913470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No80c75.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1619953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…52e3backed Yes19c75.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes29c74.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.747037.1%26 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes21c73.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2410361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes28c67.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No72c58.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.819861.2%60 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No79c57.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.084269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No72c57.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4111159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c54.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.262,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes42c50.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.227946.8%37 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104327.9%12 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No71c48.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.967170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes30c47.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.377647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes30c47.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.375154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes22c47.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f14…73a3backed Yes45c47.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c41.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1728558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes29c40.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8312958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…89d6backed No72c39.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes30c38.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No78c36.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.968867%59 W · 29 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked No56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.355358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes37c31.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6320252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1c…197dbacked No63c30.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No69c28.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.822360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No78c24.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.432445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No67c22.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4410127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No79c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9411566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked No80c15.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.122860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c15.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…265bbacked No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.