TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e30…52e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-42.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.17
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.78
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.07
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.37
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$276.08
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$264.96
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$281.22
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$368.67
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.34
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+41%+$219.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$786.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.21
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$455.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.