Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cce96c2e9b837afe9eb3fff0a4789766522a5d47b69b1590bd8fd43dfe86485

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $88,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,621 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	29c	12,907$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,106.36	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	27c	8,357$2,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,103.2	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	71c	7,722$5,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,462.77	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3016…f1fcbacked Under	0c	6,881$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	61c	2,804$1,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,721.13	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	27c	2,057$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,503.13	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	64c	2,001$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.64	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	66c	1,959$1,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,283.75	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under	5c	1,900$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under	10c	1,896$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.6	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	+97.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under	6c	1,600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under	5c	1,500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under	3c	1,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	57c	1,071$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.31	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	963.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under	11c	850$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.5	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	22c	736.56$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.52	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under	16c	699.99$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under	15c	685.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.43	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	38c	680.14$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.55	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	80c	617.46$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.49	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over	40c	600$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	40c	576.13$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.45	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over	37c	548.45$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.53	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	32c	512.69$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.29	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	70c	500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	79c	499.95$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.96	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under	14c	454.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.92	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over	45c	372.96$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.13	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over	44c	355.81$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.25	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under	16c	349.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	29c	330.14$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.4	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	20c	326.18$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.47	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	55c	319.55$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.66	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over	33c	300$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	31c	287.94$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.68	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	57c	240$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.92	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	38c	224.17$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.37	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over	38c	224.17$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.37	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over	36c	217.55$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.54	114	33.3%38 W · 76 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over	23c	207.35$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.66	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	37c	196.73$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.94	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	73c	164.38$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under	60c	162.67$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.6	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over	39c	158.57$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.73	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over	34c	149.93$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.03	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Under	66c	148.42$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.96	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0276…8454backed Under	50c	135.53$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.93	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	35c	123.48$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.2	407	42%171 W · 236 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	37c	123.41$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.16	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	54c	122.45$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.12	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08f…ea46backed Under	60c	121.06$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.05	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under	17c	119.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	50	16%8 W · 42 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	52c	108.24$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.28	275	52.7%145 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over	58c	88.31$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.49	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over	38c	86.96$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.91	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under	53c	81.88$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over	19c	79.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.19	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under	68c	76.34$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.91	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e30…52e3backed Over	38c	73.48$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	69.67$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.08	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	64c	59.62$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.16	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under	40c	57.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over	51c	57.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over	40c	48.51$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.11	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe89…49e1backed Under	40c	48.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under	63c	43.84$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	411	60.1%247 W · 164 L	+22.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1c…ddeebacked Under	66c	41.37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	35c	39.55$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.81	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ee…092dbacked Under	65c	39.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under	51c	38.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over	38c	38.01$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.56	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Under	57c	36.39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	54c	36.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under	40c	34.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	40c	33.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	1,615	34.9%564 W · 1,051 L	-28.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	43c	31.78$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.12	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under	79c	30$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	100	54%54 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under	66c	29.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	53	66%35 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	52c	28.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	111	64%71 W · 40 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under	70c	27.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.49	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	412	43.4%179 W · 233 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b2…c115backed Under	73c	24.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.5wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	53c	21.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under	71c	20.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77b8…19e1backed Under	73c	20.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under	64c	18.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over	70c	16.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	87	63.2%55 W · 32 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5this page
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event