Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa678545a52b5cecf70007ea7744733acce8feb59889ba0a1ee2cc0b082ee95a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Everton FCof Brentford FC, Everton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Brentford FC | 41c | 47,983$19,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,672.96 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC | 60c | 22,644$13,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,024.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Everton FC | 59c | 15,508$9,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,345.51 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Everton FC | 79c | 5,817$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Brentford FC | 15c | 4,602$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Everton FC | 59c | 4,130$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.07 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brentford FC | 16c | 1,153$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Everton FC | 59c | 1,084$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.3 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Everton FC | 59c | 823.22$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Everton FC | 59c | 823.22$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Everton FC | 66c | 738.01$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Everton FC | 60c | 735.03$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.96 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Everton FC | 60c | 449.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brentford FC | 34c | 336.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Everton FC | 66c | 222.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Brentford FC | 34c | 213.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Everton FC | 78c | 124.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Brentford FC | 30c | 113.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Everton FC | 79c | 83.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Everton FC | 77c | 83.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Everton FC | 80c | 71.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Brentford FC | 22c | 64.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Brentford FC | 24c | 56.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brentford FC | 34c | 56.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Everton FC | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Brentford FC | 25c | 51.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Everton FC | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Everton FC | 78c | 40.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Everton FC | 63c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Everton FC | 59c | 29.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Everton FC | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Everton FC | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Everton FC | 69c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Everton FC | 78c | 20.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Everton FC | 77c | 20.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Everton FC | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.