Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71610de02f15fbea87c27eb0bfa7f3a56e163aa1f5517894fa440297fcd1a10f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 7c | 1,866$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 25c | 1,822$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.53 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 1,665$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 7c | 1,268$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 805.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 694.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 7c | 521.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 7c | 488.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 74c | 395.09$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Under | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 64.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…892fbacked Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe835…cd50backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.