CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5980cbd5f726352a5e525b8a14619986dcede0b18ed024febcd4c02f7b52a786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $538,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 30,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,499.98 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 59c | 26,568$15,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,859.49 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 21,277$8,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,089.61 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 31c | 20,574$6,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons | 35c | 19,183$6,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,794.13 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit | 58c | 18,892$10,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,934.61 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 58c | 18,867$10,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,001.41 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 64c | 14,999$9,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,537.25 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 13,994$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,737.54 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Team Falcons | 40c | 13,302$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.72 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 34c | 13,093$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.76 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 62c | 10,100$6,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.25 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Team Falcons | 32c | 9,242$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 60c | 8,460$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 42c | 7,011$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.59 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 58c | 6,530$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.74 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Falcons | 4c | 6,115$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Spirit | 59c | 5,891$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Spirit | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Spirit | 70c | 4,757$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.18 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Spirit | 57c | 4,397$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.27 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 44c | 4,195$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.42 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 37c | 4,096$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.22 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…8c6ebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 3,770$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 48c | 3,442$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.39 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 59c | 3,377$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.85 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 75c | 3,161$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.81 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,060$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked Spirit | 62c | 2,969$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Spirit | 34c | 2,416$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.14 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Spirit | 53c | 2,410$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.63 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 23c | 2,331$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.28 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…189dbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spirit | 57c | 2,000$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.15 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,987$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…133ebacked Team Falcons | 31c | 1,849$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b2…9e60backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 1,740$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.51 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 1,675$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Spirit | 44c | 1,668$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.02 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,629$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.36 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Spirit | 60c | 1,585$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.18 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Spirit | 62c | 1,583$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.61 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,546$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.92 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Spirit | 48c | 1,500$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.99 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,456$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.12 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Spirit | 69c | 1,447$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.64 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,418$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,393$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Spirit | 34c | 1,372$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.53 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,371$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.37 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 62c | 1,364$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.39 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,278$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 50c | 1,255$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.89 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit | 58c | 1,234$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.48 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,230$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.04 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,224$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.28 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…d0e1backed Team Falcons | 32c | 1,210$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.74 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 71c | 1,200$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.73 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Team Falcons | 28c | 1,172$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,168$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.05 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spirit | 56c | 1,128$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.42 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,128$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.96 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…d240backed Team Falcons | 4c | 1,125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Spirit | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.28 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,110$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Spirit | 41c | 1,100$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 1,097$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 58c | 1,066$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.52 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,029$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 62c | 1,018$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Spirit | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Falcons | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 57c | 961.15$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.47 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Spirit | 59c | 899.65$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.11 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Spirit | 43c | 871.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.61 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…580abacked Team Falcons | 16c | 852.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 13c | 851.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Team Falcons | 43c | 851.04$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.95 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 840$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.82 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Falcons | 28c | 809.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit | 53c | 796.31$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.27 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 43c | 786.04$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 46c | 753.49$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.73 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Spirit | 68c | 739.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.93 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Spirit | 56c | 708.6$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…8514backed Team Falcons | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…70dcbacked Spirit | 60c | 666.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Spirit | 56c | 660.08$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Spirit | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Spirit | 46c | 640.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.52 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Team Falcons | 49c | 634.47$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.89 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Team Falcons | 22c | 628.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons | 33c | 609.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.62 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…575dbacked Spirit | 63c | 603.59$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Team Falcons | 16c | 602.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.