TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under30c13,484$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,420.375,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c8,732$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,125.252,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over45c6,179$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7542,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,543$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.883,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Under27c4,555$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.1321251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over39c4,049$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.2767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under46c4,030$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.74,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over68c3,800$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.6836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c3,731$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.313,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Over73c3,331$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.9734146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Under28c3,252$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.7815947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Over72c3,231$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.018951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Over69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.996147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed Over70c2,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.998226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Over70c2,417$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.83857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under31c2,286$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.292,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over70c2,238$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.7221545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c1,932$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.972,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over72c1,875$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.5564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under59c1,687$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.592,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Over46c1,593$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.4752951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over70c1,430$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00117460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Over75c1,400$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05011753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under59c1,283$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over30c1,226$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.361,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed Over70c1,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402070%14 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Over69c1,180$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.8323842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed Over72c1,040$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.3913333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Over70c1,008$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Under63c1,007$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6611846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Over71c1,006$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.8316546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over71c933.97$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.1281244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over73c670.92$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7740655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Under30c643.33$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3339157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over72c600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43215954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over72c524.88$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over73c521.4$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0313252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under30c500.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0726650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bd…8c6ebacked Over73c431.86$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c7f…f3cdbacked Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdffa…767fbacked Over74c363.04$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc086…8128backed Over76c339.38$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3214748.3%71 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Over39c335.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13120353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over55c329.34$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7824939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L-4.9wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under30c299.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.998348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Over38c293.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.412653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Over73c276.58$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.935466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8aa…20f6backed Over70c263.65$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb85…f0a4backed Over70c260.24$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Under53c235.97$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9715363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8616…1b35backed Over70c224.86$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0c…9dbfbacked Over75c224.85$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Over74c203.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over72c200$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14315747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked Over72c199.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9921557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over60c194.92$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9511354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over73c184.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13526443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed Under26c176.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef15…74dabacked Under31c176.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.571643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f5…ea74backed Under28c176.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.932138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…557cbacked Over71c170$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d1…214ebacked Under32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.254841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26c…f309backed Over72c136.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d02…0ea6backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Under29c103.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7514145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7165946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3421942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under30c92.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3237855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Over42c83.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked Over70c80.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4826862.3%167 W · 101 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017764.4%114 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Under31c64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.167550.7%38 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed Under31c61.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2722059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Over66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.558762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Over49c57.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.959364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe82a…db8dbacked Over71c51.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under54c47.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.961,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed Under59c46.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.931673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2700…aa2abacked Over69c46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Under32c42.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.694843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0d…9115backed Under54c40.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.565771.9%41 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0950…a26dbacked Under29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.49138.5%35 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed Over77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020659.2%122 W · 84 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over51c38.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.492343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over69c36.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2940635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5bf…1651backed Under62c31.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e17…a83dbacked Under60c30.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49e…2137backed Over78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under49c28.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6627452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017360.1%104 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…daacbacked Over73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.