CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9684db7ec127696a7d6e66f4def8b3914e800f75ca3e5c0b38b008a93c7ad55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2322…45c3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 29,094$17,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,602.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Spirit | 41c | 15,602$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,270.87 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 14,651$8,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.86 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 12,195$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.12 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 44c | 8,530$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.08 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spirit | 42c | 7,619$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.05 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 39c | 6,784$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.25 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Spirit | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Spirit | 39c | 4,014$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.45 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,600$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.99 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 42c | 2,461$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.39 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Spirit | 44c | 2,430$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.29 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 47c | 1,725$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.08 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…831ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,336$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,026$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.33 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Spirit | 38c | 1,020$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Spirit | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 58c | 953.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.45 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Spirit | 42c | 720$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Spirit | 42c | 690.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.48 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Team Falcons | 44c | 685.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Spirit | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Spirit | 39c | 594.15$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.43 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 507.53$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Spirit | 42c | 501.69$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…9b43backed Spirit | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 39c | 494.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Spirit | 41c | 486.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.74 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Spirit | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…8704backed Spirit | 42c | 357.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Spirit | 40c | 357.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Spirit | 40c | 345$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Team Falcons | 58c | 317.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Spirit | 41c | 315.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.37 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Spirit | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Spirit | 42c | 269.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Spirit | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Team Falcons | 39c | 248.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Spirit | 61c | 241.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Spirit | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 226.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 42c | 213.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Spirit | 42c | 207.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…11f8backed Spirit | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Team Falcons | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Spirit | 42c | 187.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Spirit | 78c | 166.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Spirit | 42c | 162.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spirit | 44c | 136.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed Team Falcons | 60c | 129.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…b145backed Spirit | 41c | 128.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Spirit | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Spirit | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Spirit | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Spirit | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Spirit | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Spirit | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469d…a9d7backed Team Falcons | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Spirit | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Spirit | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Spirit | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Spirit | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Spirit | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e3…35dcbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3467…6787backed Spirit | 42c | 70.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Team Falcons | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Falcons | 21c | 63.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed Spirit | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Spirit | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed Spirit | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Spirit | 38c | 54.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Spirit | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Spirit | 58c | 48.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team Falcons | 59c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Spirit | 39c | 47.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Spirit | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Spirit | 42c | 46.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Spirit | 38c | 36.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Spirit | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Spirit | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked Spirit | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…fe89backed Spirit | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf30…930fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 31.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Spirit | 42c | 30.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Spirit | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…9f93backed Spirit | 42c | 28.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…e53bbacked Spirit | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Falcons | 62c | 22.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 75c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.