CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd2107adaaa7cf0a1ffba4178c164bbbaee8617c624eab79716ab5c6e3cbac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,963,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,134,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,963,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,054 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Spirit | 62c | 160,000$98,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,550 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 134,126$50,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,967.86 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Falcons | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.93 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit | 61c | 80,000$48,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Falcons | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,399.95 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Team Falcons | 39c | 52,579$20,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,405.83 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…3eacbacked Team Falcons | 6c | 47,106$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 73c | 43,110$31,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,519.37 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 40,731$15,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,523.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Spirit | 61c | 38,412$23,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,980.77 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Spirit | 61c | 33,391$20,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,966.54 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 62c | 31,935$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,135.48 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 35c | 28,750$10,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,037.46 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 28,226$11,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,182.8 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Team Falcons | 10c | 27,298$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.95 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Team Falcons | 10c | 25,948$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.73 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 61c | 25,500$15,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,944.98 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Spirit | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.92 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Falcons | 37c | 23,128$8,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,578.99 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Team Falcons | 44c | 22,666$9,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,969.85 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 61c | 20,361$12,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,864.79 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.95 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Spirit | 61c | 19,231$11,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 18,500$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.6 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 60c | 16,566$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,565.68 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit | 61c | 16,400$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.93 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Spirit | 62c | 15,959$9,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,064.32 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Team Falcons | 41c | 15,333$6,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.69 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 12c | 15,139$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.87 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Spirit | 60c | 15,129$9,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.3 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Spirit | 61c | 15,008$9,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,853.06 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Spirit | 74c | 14,901$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Spirit | 63c | 14,149$8,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.27 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Falcons | 39c | 12,749$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.03 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…a6c3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 12,263$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons | 40c | 12,220$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.98 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons | 3c | 11,998$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.79 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 62c | 10,951$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.86 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 66c | 10,844$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.9 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 68c | 10,348$7,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.33 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Team Falcons | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…0da6backed Team Falcons | 0c | 9,943$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons | 0c | 9,888$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 9,679$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 40c | 9,157$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.83 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.98 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit | 60c | 8,975$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Spirit | 60c | 8,905$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.19 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Team Falcons | 12c | 8,715$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.31 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Falcons | 12c | 8,463$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.61 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Team Falcons | 41c | 8,376$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Team Falcons | 33c | 8,343$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…75a2backed Team Falcons | 18c | 8,299$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 60c | 8,224$4,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.99 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 71c | 8,091$5,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…6479backed Spirit | 62c | 7,928$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Spirit | 67c | 7,425$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons | 39c | 7,192$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 74c | 7,170$5,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.82 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Team Falcons | 45c | 6,665$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Spirit | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.38 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Team Falcons | 42c | 6,365$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.14 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 60c | 6,084$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.21 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…4f64backed Team Falcons | 30c | 6,045$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 39c | 6,043$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.79 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 6,022$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Team Falcons | 32c | 6,000$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…bcb4backed Team Falcons | 17c | 6,000$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons | 26c | 5,898$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.79 | 617 | 37.9%234 W · 383 L | -22.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…11f8backed Spirit | 61c | 5,643$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.72 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 5,045$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.6 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Spirit | 65c | 5,033$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Spirit | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…03edbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Spirit | 62c | 4,999$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.62 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Team Falcons | 38c | 4,926$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Spirit | 62c | 4,923$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.41 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Falcons | 39c | 4,858$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.65 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 12c | 4,620$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.41 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d24…6597backed Team Falcons | 42c | 4,572$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…d73dbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 4,549$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Team Falcons | 34c | 4,462$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Spirit | 62c | 4,399$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Spirit | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.29 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…dc58backed Team Falcons | 10c | 4,162$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 40c | 4,073$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.32 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Spirit | 61c | 4,060$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.53 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit | 62c | 4,040$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.33 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Spirit | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Team Falcons | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Spirit | 70c | 3,967$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.47 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Spirit | 69c | 3,815$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.39 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spirit | 60c | 3,651$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.2 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Spirit | 61c | 3,643$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.62 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.