CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90381343efdb0b06cca5bfb8d85e5167e87e6df78dad8898915372b42d93b5eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 68c | 7,322$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Over | 32c | 3,200$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 2,244$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.35 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 2,127$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Under | 67c | 1,860$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.63 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Over | 35c | 1,447$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 67c | 1,040$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.87 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 34c | 1,026$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Over | 31c | 938.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.38 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Over | 34c | 759.06$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.08 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Over | 31c | 747.55$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 32c | 514.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 32c | 470.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 80c | 303.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 32c | 263.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 179.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…aa2abacked Over | 32c | 159.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 30c | 141$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Over | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 65c | 101.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Over | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 65c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 32c | 72.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 35c | 69.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Under | 67c | 46.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 33c | 38.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 68c | 38.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 34c | 32.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 68c | 31.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Under | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…fd44backed Under | 69c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Under | 68c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.