TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2f5…ea74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.85
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$119.28
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)backed Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$86.42
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$15.67
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)backed BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.64
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5)backed Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will FURIA Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$17.01
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$126.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$47.92
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$500.43
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$147.97
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.78
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$167.53
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.57
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$29.21
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$12.29
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.