Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be715089308064846c3d7988f63bba7fd86df9eba0becea003a54918338a67f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 11,067$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.93 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 75c | 6,978$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.44 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 56c | 6,511$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,773$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 42c | 5,218$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.97 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 3,614$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,388$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 58c | 3,305$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,975$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,658$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc5…2191backed Yes | 20c | 2,658$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 2,614$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 39c | 1,739$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.21 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yes | 12c | 1,246$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…34d8backed Yes | 2c | 913.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 6c | 659.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 37c | 574.61$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fc…0adebacked Yes | 34c | 547.68$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 528.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked No | 49c | 460.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…a7c7backed Yes | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…e6f6backed Yes | 9c | 420$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…8954backed Yes | 51c | 415.39$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…d7c9backed Yes | 58c | 405$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…64a7backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…3976backed Yes | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 48c | 283.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 29c | 270$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…e127backed Yes | 10c | 256.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…ddfbbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…ea74backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…41b8backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…1f1fbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…45febacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…78e1backed No | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…1af1backed No | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…fea0backed Yes | 57c | 174.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…832abacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 52c | 154.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9592backed Yes | 62c | 150.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…c87ebacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 139.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…f026backed Yes | 21c | 119.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed No | 38c | 113$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…5291backed Yes | 10c | 101.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…5f0bbacked No | 48c | 90.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 58c | 86.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…1bf4backed No | 79c | 73.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…40f0backed No | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…4d07backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…23c0backed Yes | 38c | 65.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd895…ad02backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…add9backed Yes | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f7…aedebacked No | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…f45abacked Yes | 53c | 52.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Yes | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…2591backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…cc67backed Yes | 47c | 47.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…9294backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…370dbacked Yes | 50c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 in July?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $80 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $80 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.